Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.004270 0.004494 0.004724 0.004978 0.005251 0.005536 0.005856
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003833 0.004162 0.004514 0.004920 0.005377 0.005878 0.006470
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003559 0.003945 0.004370 0.004876 0.005463 0.006130 0.006949
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003337 0.003759 0.004233 0.004811 0.005501 0.006305 0.007325
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003232 0.003693 0.004223 0.004882 0.005689 0.006655 0.007917
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003106 0.003593 0.004161 0.004882 0.005783 0.006887 0.008368
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002979 0.003482 0.004079 0.004847 0.005826 0.007051 0.008735
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002842 0.003352 0.003963 0.004763 0.005798 0.007117 0.008969
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002726 0.003242 0.003868 0.004697 0.005786 0.007199 0.009223
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002653 0.003181 0.003829 0.004700 0.005862 0.007397 0.009643
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002513 0.003030 0.003672 0.004541 0.005713 0.007282 0.009612
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002455 0.002983 0.003643 0.004549 0.005788 0.007474 0.010029
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002441 0.002991 0.003688 0.004657 0.006006 0.007876 0.010781
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002362 0.002912 0.003616 0.004604 0.005997 0.007956 0.011056
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002294 0.002844 0.003555 0.004563 0.006001 0.008055 0.011362
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002222 0.002770 0.003483 0.004504 0.005976 0.008106 0.011594
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002201 0.002763 0.003500 0.004569 0.006132 0.008433 0.012285
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002157 0.002723 0.003473 0.004569 0.006192 0.008616 0.012749
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002105 0.002671 0.003425 0.004537 0.006202 0.008721 0.013089
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002040 0.002598 0.003347 0.004460 0.006140 0.008709 0.013227
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001983 0.002537 0.003283 0.004399 0.006100 0.008729 0.013421
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001950 0.002507 0.003262 0.004402 0.006158 0.008908 0.013902
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001871 0.002409 0.003144 0.004256 0.005978 0.008692 0.013662